RBI Rate Cuts

It looks unlikely, at least, till June this year…

A day after the inflation data and the US Fed announcement, the big question reverted back to the RBI stance. The primary question was once again the same; will the RBI cut repo rates in its April 2017 monetary review. Here are 4 reasons why the RBI will not… Continue reading

Monetary Policy Announcement and its broader implications

The Monetary Policy announced by the RBI on 08th February was largely along expected lines. One needs to understand the context in which the policy was announced. On the one hand, the Indian economy is just about emerging from the cash shortfall caused by the demonetization. On the other hand, inflation continues to stay under control and IIP and core sector are showing green-shoots of recovery. The global scenario is the bigger question mark. BREXIT is raising serious questions over the sustainability of the common currency model while the UK still does not have clarity on its trade strategy post BREXIT. Above all, the US is increasingly making protectionist noises even as Indian companies are already under pressure due to recent measures like H1-B visa restrictions, immigration checks and a likely border tax on outsourcing. It is in this highly charged atmosphere that the Monetary Policy was announced by the RBI… Continue reading

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