| Trigger for the Week | How will it Impact? |
|---|---|
| US Coronavirus spread and DJIA will hold the key to next week | US crossed 1.25 lakh cases and 2500 casualties and that could spook the Dow and global markets |
| Indian spread of Coronavirus and Migrant problem could be the focus | Markets could be worried that a huge migrant exodus risks creating a COVID-19 pandemic in India |
| OPEC admits to 20% compression in crude oil demand | With the fall in demand for petrol, refining capacities are idling creating huge risks for oil companies |
| Indian markets will look for growth cues after weak US jobs data | US jobless claims expanding to 3.3 million could worry markets as it ends the jobs boom of the last 10 years |
| Rate sensitives may see the impact of 75 bps rate cut this week | Select banks, NBFCs, and realty companies could be among the beneficiaries on the big RBI rate cut |
| FII selling has finally tapered towards the end of March | However, FPIs have sold over Rs.1.3 trillion in March and that could continue to be an overhang on markets |
| Markets will be watching if the Indian rupee can sustain the bounce | RBI intervention and GDP push supported rupee at 76/$ and that level could hold the key for the week |
| Markets await a fiscal package from the government | After the monetary boost last week, markets expect a slew of tax cuts & exemptions to neutralize lockdown |
| Tata Motors could set the template for diversified auto companies | With TAMO separating PV/EV and CV business, other auto companies may use it as a template to revive |
| Bank stocks still have a lot of open short positions pending | The rate cut and the liquidity boost could lead to a surge in short-covering in banks pushing up the Nifty |
| Core sector numbers to be declared on Tuesday for February 2020 | Core sector is expected to be disappointing & a deep negative growth could impact sentiments in market |
| Auto numbers for March could disappoint with shutdowns | The markets will be keen to look at the overall impact on output and deep cuts in sales will be a dampener |
| Crude prices are well below $30/bbl and will be a dual impact | The slump in demand will keep crude under pressure but markets need better crude prices to sustain |
| Pace of VIX cooling in the coming week will be a deciding factor | VIX has cooled from 86 to 70 but it is still too high to warrant an end to volatility and a bounce in markets |
