| Trigger for the Week | How will it Impact? |
|---|---|
| Banks and financials to react positively to the monetary policy | Financials are likely to be impressed by the liquidity infusion although the rates status quo was maintained |
| Real estate stocks likely to be in action in the coming week | The RBI instruction not to downgrade realty debt for another year and CRR benefits likely to be positive |
| Trends in the China virus pandemic could be the key to global cues | While the death toll has crossed 750, the Indian market will be looking at the Chinese stimulus impact |
| Delhi elections could dampen spirits if NDA puts up a weak performance | If, as indicated by exit polls, the NDA performs below par, the markets are likely to react negatively on 11th |
| Oil prices could hold the key after touching a yearly low of $54/bbl | The pandemic fears and the US excess supply risk are likely to keep oil prices under pressure, which is positive |
| The focus will largely be on the auto sector and realty revival this week | They could revive as both these sectors got a reprieve from CRR maintenance on incremental loans |
| FIIs have been selling but domestic institutions are buying | Normally, FII selling has an oversized impact on markets and the flows in equity and debt will be crucial |
| Keep an eye on the value of the rupee that corrected to 71.40/$ | Rupee could weaken due to strong dollar and weak FII flows; something negative for equity markets |
| Big numbers expected this week from the last phase of Q3 results | The week sees big results from GAIL, CIL, BPCL, ONGC, BHEL, Oil India, Hindalco; which could hold the key |
| CPI inflation will be released on February 12th with IIP data | Inflation at 7.35% in Dec-19 will be key input as will IIP, which had bounced to positive in Nov-19 |
| The markets will keep an eye on the dividend payout announcements | It is expected that many cash-rich companies may dole out generous dividends post-budget DDT impact |
| DMART may be in action due to the QIP just announced | The QIP of DMART will be the key to judging the appetite that global investors have for Indian paper |
| Correction on Friday after the weekly rally could be an overhang | After the sharp rally post budget and credit policy, the market may bide its time in the coming week |
| Some key global data points also need to be watched this week | These points include Fed Testimony, US inflation and jobless claims, Euro area IIP and GDP and China inflation |
