Trigger for the Week |
How will it Impact? |
Banks and financials to react positively to the monetary policy |
Financials are likely to be impressed by the liquidity infusion although the rates status quo was maintained |
Real estate stocks likely to be in action in the coming week |
The RBI instruction not to downgrade realty debt for another year and CRR benefits likely to be positive |
Trends in the China virus pandemic could be the key to global cues |
While the death toll has crossed 750, the Indian market will be looking at the Chinese stimulus impact |
Delhi elections could dampen spirits if NDA puts up a weak performance |
If, as indicated by exit polls, the NDA performs below par, the markets are likely to react negatively on 11th |
Oil prices could hold the key after touching a yearly low of $54/bbl |
The pandemic fears and the US excess supply risk are likely to keep oil prices under pressure, which is positive |
The focus will largely be on the auto sector and realty revival this week |
They could revive as both these sectors got a reprieve from CRR maintenance on incremental loans |
FIIs have been selling but domestic institutions are buying |
Normally, FII selling has an oversized impact on markets and the flows in equity and debt will be crucial |
Keep an eye on the value of the rupee that corrected to 71.40/$ |
Rupee could weaken due to strong dollar and weak FII flows; something negative for equity markets |
Big numbers expected this week from the last phase of Q3 results |
The week sees big results from GAIL, CIL, BPCL, ONGC, BHEL, Oil India, Hindalco; which could hold the key |
CPI inflation will be released on February 12th with IIP data |
Inflation at 7.35% in Dec-19 will be key input as will IIP, which had bounced to positive in Nov-19 |
The markets will keep an eye on the dividend payout announcements |
It is expected that many cash-rich companies may dole out generous dividends post-budget DDT impact |
DMART may be in action due to the QIP just announced |
The QIP of DMART will be the key to judging the appetite that global investors have for Indian paper |
Correction on Friday after the weekly rally could be an overhang |
After the sharp rally post budget and credit policy, the market may bide its time in the coming week |
Some key global data points also need to be watched this week |
These points include Fed Testimony, US inflation and jobless claims, Euro area IIP and GDP and China inflation |